The fall of the “red wall” to triumphant Tories became the dominant story of the 2019 election. But this time around, things are very different: most seats simply don’t exist in their previous form following a review of constituency boundaries, and Labour looks likely to make gains across the board.
POLITICO looked at the most recent constituency-level research by YouGov, carried out in December 2023 and January 2024, to bring you the real battlegrounds to watch.
The analysis highlights the scale of the challenge facing the Tories, who will be under pressure across a very wide range of different types of seat, some in places where they have never previously deployed significant resources, at the same time as defending other seats which they have little hope of hanging onto.